The pandemic spread of the COVID-19 virus has , as of 20 th of April 2020 , reached most countries of the world .
that peak phase and data paucity have a substantial impact on the reliability of model predictions .
The pandemic spread of the COVID-19 virus has , as of 20 th of April 2020 , reached most countries of the world .
In this work , we show that peak phase and data paucity have a substantial impact on the reliability of model predictions .